Last Week: It didn’t get posted because Zoo was too busy drinking mimosas on the beach for like eleventy days but I improved on my pitiful Week 1 showing, going 8-8 ATS and 12-4 SU, bringing my totals to 12-19-1 ATS and 22-10 SU on the year. On to the Week 3 picks! Home team in caps.
PHILADELPHIA (-3) 31, Kansas City 27. Big Red gets loud cheers when he’s announced, the Donnie Mac jersey retirement ceremony goes smoothly, and the Chiefs have a 27-17 lead in the 4th quarter before the Eagles score 2 TDs as Kansas City fails to run the ball to take time off the clock. There is much rejoicing in Philadelphia.
San Diego (+3) 27, TENNESSEE 20. Not sold on the whole “Jake Locker as a favorite thing”, especially against a team that has looked shockingly competent thus far (go screw, Phillip Rivers and Eddie Royal).
MINNESOTA (-6) 20, Cleveland 9. LOL.
NEW ENGLAND 23, Tampa Bay (+7) 20. Tampa Bay has found ways to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in Weeks 1 and 2, and the Pats have played 2 close games and failed to cover as large favorites in Weeks 1 and 2. More of the same this week.
Houston (-2.5) 27, BALTIMORE 20. Baltimore got blown out by the Broncos in Week 1 and could only put up 14 points on the Browns last week. I don’t love laying points against Baltimore at home, but I think the Texans are a good team and their defense should be able to stifle the Ravens’ offense.
DALLAS (-4) 24, St. Louis 17. Boring game that sees Dez Bryant do Dez Bryant things for Dallas.
NEW ORLEANS (-7) 31, Arizona 20. New Orleans is going to come out firing at home after eking out a win in Tampa that was much closer than it should have been. Arizona’s coming off a big win and traveling. Plus, the Saints’ defense has gotten a lot of pressure thus far in the season.
Detroit (+2.5) 31, WASHINGTON 27. Calvin Johnson against the Redskins secondary. Not comfortable laying points with the Skins right now.
Green Bay (-2.5) 30, CINCINNATI 24. Only thing that scares me about this is the potential for Geno Atkins to wreak havoc against a suspect Green Bay line. But I’m of the firm belief that any time you can lay less than 3 points with Aaron Rodgers or a QB of similar caliber, you take the opportunity.
New York Giants (+1) 24, CAROLINA 20. Virtual must-win for the Giants at 0-2 with Kansas City, the Birds, and Chicago on the horizon. Carolina’s secondary is in shambles and they can’t win close games.
Atlanta (+2.5) 27, MIAMI 24. Getting 2.5 points with Matt Ryan? Why thank you!
SAN FRANCISCO 27, Indianapolis (+10) 20. Strong backdoor cover potential with this one.
SEATTLE (-19.5) 31, Jacksonville 3. Basically, if the Seahawks score 3 TDs they’ll cover the spread. Quite frankly, projecting the Jags to score as many points in Seattle as the Niners did last week seems generous. This is your survivor pick if you’re into that sort of thing.
Buffalo (+2.5) 19, NEW YORK JETS 13. Not comfortable with the whole “laying points with Geno Smith” thing yet. Give me some time.
Chicago (-2.5) 23, PITTSBURGH 13. Looks like this is the year things go sideways for the Steelers. Everyone looks slow and old and no one can block.
DENVER (-15) 38, Oakland 17. Peyton Manning and his robot neck will destroy all of us.